Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.039223 0.042674 0.046153 0.049915 0.053864 0.057879 0.062264
2025-10-12 0.033712 0.038804 0.044110 0.050025 0.056413 0.063080 0.070542
2025-10-19 0.029849 0.036149 0.042907 0.050640 0.059189 0.068301 0.078697
2025-10-26 0.026797 0.034012 0.041960 0.051265 0.061762 0.073148 0.086342
2025-11-02 0.022857 0.030504 0.039166 0.049544 0.061489 0.074667 0.090167
2025-11-09 0.020246 0.028295 0.037644 0.049077 0.062463 0.077443 0.095280
2025-11-16 0.018123 0.026481 0.036426 0.048817 0.063553 0.080253 0.100355
2025-11-23 0.017147 0.025985 0.036703 0.050260 0.066575 0.085246 0.107902
2025-11-30 0.016138 0.025356 0.036747 0.051362 0.069152 0.089693 0.114807
2025-12-07 0.015050 0.024537 0.036486 0.052032 0.071168 0.093456 0.120899
2025-12-14 0.013823 0.023441 0.035801 0.052118 0.072427 0.096290 0.125881
2025-12-21 0.013184 0.023094 0.036038 0.053325 0.075033 0.100712 0.132731
2025-12-28 0.011756 0.021582 0.034717 0.052546 0.075209 0.102266 0.136252
2026-01-04 0.010855 0.020758 0.034262 0.052842 0.076698 0.105395 0.141656
2026-01-11 0.010184 0.020222 0.034158 0.053567 0.078708 0.109149 0.147814
2026-01-18 0.009557 0.019705 0.034048 0.054259 0.080661 0.112830 0.153888
2026-01-25 0.008200 0.017958 0.032143 0.052496 0.079428 0.112550 0.155134
2026-02-01 0.007357 0.016955 0.031233 0.052021 0.079811 0.114240 0.158753
2026-02-08 0.006648 0.016109 0.030504 0.051756 0.080438 0.116213 0.162708
2026-02-15 0.006465 0.016141 0.031057 0.053255 0.083376 0.121090 0.170246
2026-02-22 0.006203 0.016013 0.031360 0.054399 0.085845 0.125381 0.177075
2026-03-01 0.005847 0.015692 0.031353 0.055094 0.087714 0.128916 0.182973
2026-03-08 0.005373 0.015117 0.030930 0.055183 0.088761 0.131399 0.187565